You can make a case that every team that endured the best shots from every one of their opponents throughout the season, found a way to win enough They're the fifth-best team in football and have the fourth-best chance to win it all with a 6% shot, according to FPI. 4. Obviously a dramatic ending helps, but that doesnt alway mean a great game. Here are the 10 most likely Super Bowl LV matchups: The Green Bay Packers are clearly Super Bowl contenders. The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021. They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. And they should open 2-0, meaning their odds will get even shorter., Too much turnover on the offensive line for my liking, though, as 37-year old Aaron Rodgers will open the season with three new starters., 7. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. "Broadway Joe" completed just 49.2 percent of his passes during the season and threw two more interceptions (17) than he did touchdowns (15). Seattle Seahawks +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Will we see the first-half Seahawks (6-1, 34 points per game! You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. Not every team epitomizes greatness and dominance when it is victorious in the Super Bowl. Quick, use one word to describe Super Bowl XL in Detroit. Super Bowl Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. The 49ers' projection is based on the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starting quarterback. 29 and 30. Worst ), or the second-half Seahawks (only topped 30 points once in the final seven games, and it was vs the hapless Jets)?, Seattle has lost three of its past four playoff games and not made the NFC title game since 2014., 11. Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. When thinking about the 1990 season, it is hard to conjure up images of anything other than Buffalo Bills kicker Scott Norwood missing a potential Super Bowl-winning kick. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. With Aaron Rodgers' future in limbo, the Vikings could be primed to win the NFC North. It's all about the schedule. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. FPI believes there is an 8% chance that the Chiefs face the Bucs again, more than any other potential matchup. There's enough depth to get by. 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. In one of our 20,000 sims, the Eagles took the crown at 5-11-1. The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. They stole all-pro center Corey Linsley from the Packers and drafted Rashawn Slater in the first round.. Reggie White was downright unblockable. Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt, carrying an offense that finished 31st in the league in rushing. W. 23-20. The game that gave us all of those 28-3 jokes. In a season without a normal offseason due to the pandemic, the 142 defending champs looked like easy Super Bowl favorites. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. An 11-win season leaning on the talent of John Elway and the defense's ability to hold teams to under three touchdowns. Just how goofy was this game? They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. There have been some very random teams that reached the conference championship game in recent years (Titans and 49ers, 2020; Jaguars and Vikings 2018), though. It featured the great comeback, the only overtime in Super Bowl history, not one but two spectacular catches and a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. Both Cowboys-Bills Super Bowl were blowouts, but this one was at least competitive into the third quarter. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, C.J. Here are the 10 teams most likely to win Super Bowl LV: Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay is still not that likely, however. Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. The first five weeks of Indianapolis' schedule are rough, as the Colts host the Seahawks and Rams before hitting the road to face the Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. Pittsburgh sent six men to the Pro Bowl, went a decent 10-3-1 in the regular season and, of course, won the Lombardi Trophy. 16. The teams combined for 11 turnovers. Buffalo is in position to make another deep playoff run this season. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good. Ill assume you didnt watch the and a dramatic finish. Losing three offensive linemen is gonna sting. So their overall grade suffered. Terrell Davis three-touchdown game won him MVP honors. Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Their win total is 8.5, yet Mike Tomlin has never finished under .500 as coach of the Steelers. One yard away from not even being on this list, the 133 Titans were solid. This would have been yet another classic Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowl if Neil ODonnell didnt throw the game away. Those questions need to be answered in a division where the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers defenses reside. The Tennessee Titans are one of 12 teams in the NFL to have never won a Super Bowl, and according to one writer, they are the furthest away from doing so of those dozen teams. And they do return all 11 starters on offense and defense., If they get by the Rams in Week 3, theyll be favored in every game the rest of the way, and youll regret not taking a flier that you can potentially hedge later., 2. He finished fourth in the league in completion percentage (69.2), fifth in passing yards, fifth in passing touchdowns, and fourth in passer rating -- while also rushing for 421 yards and eight touchdowns. Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. Indianapolis Colts +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Preseason surgery to Carson Wentz and Quentin Nelson could put the Colts down for the count before the calendar turns to October.. ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. This 11-5Oakland Raiders teamfinished second in the AFC West in an era when there were only three divisions. On the other end of the spectrum is Denver. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. There were 11 total turnovers in the game and the Cowboys took it one step further with a Super Bowl-record 10 penalties. Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. Along with quarterback Earl Morrall, the Colts defense was the best in the league, only giving up 10.3 points per game. worst Super Bowl Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). Jalen Hurts will not pull a Kurt Warner this year and lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl.. The AFC West belongs to the Kansas City Chiefs, but second place is there for the taking. Webworst defense to win super bowlaiken county sc register of deeds worst defense to win super bowl Despite the strength of the division, the 49ers play one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league (SOS rank: 29th). That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. 2007 Giants, 2007 Patriots, 2006 Colts, or the 2009 Saints, with a 25th overall defense, could say they were all the worst defensive teams to win a