is adam wainwright a hall of famer is adam wainwright a hall of famer

JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. All WAR (and WPA) figures here refer to the Baseball Reference version, unless otherwise indicated. The best pitcher in MLB? By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. However, not all stories have happy endings. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Ive lost track. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright are back together, and they will start Opening Day together for the first time since 2009 on Thursday. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. ago. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. Not an injury issue? . Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. . He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. It happens a lot. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Were not concerned. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. . Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. Please logout and login again. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Astros @ Cardinals. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Enter your email address to get a new one. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). Privacy Policy All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Adam Wainwright Stats. He is known for being a Baseball Player. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Your email address will not be published. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. Theyll defer. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! Its available on your preferred podcast platform. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Let's take a look at Flaherty. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. No harm. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. I found (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Sabermetrics lover. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Your login session has expired. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Arizona Diamondbacks. Will this happen? Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. Please contact us. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. (approx 1 - 2 per week). Flaherty is calm. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown.